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Ryan's Selection and the Campaign Ahead

Although I recently said Paul Ryan, was my third choice for Romney's running mate, I am pleased he was selected.  This means that Romney is a bold leader who will fight for conservative policymaking programs and values and intellectually slug it out with Barack Obama's decrepit liberalism.  Paul Ryan is a true policy wonk and a federal budget scholar.  As House Budget Committee chair he has passed two budgets through the House only to see them stalled in the Democratic controlled Senate.  Its extremely hypocritical for Democrats to call him extreme, when their own budgetary and legislative incompetence during the Obama Administration has failed to produce an enacted budget in over three years.  To make this situation even worse, the true ideological extremism of the Obama Administration in its reckless spending has exacerbated our national debt beyond what was cumulatively accumulated during all prior presidencies.

Ryan's presence in the campaign will, hopefully, allow for an adult conversation on federal entitlements.  These entitlement programs, characterized most prominently by Medicaid, Medicare, and Social Security are the primary drivers of our exploding national debt and federal budget deficit.    A 2011 Congressional Research Service report, citing Congressional Budget Office statistics, notes that these three entitlement programs constitute 43% of the federal budget.  In contrast, the Defense Budget, demonized by many leftists as the principal cause of national budget problems, represents an estimated 18.1% of the federal budget in Fiscal Year 2012 according to the Office of Management and Budget.  This does not factor in the draconian defense spending cuts that are set to take place if sequestration occurs on January 1, 2013.

Our continually growing population and improved health care have enhanced the population of elderly adults and produced drastic and unsustainable increases in health care spending which are driving entitlement costs increases beyond contributions to these programs.    The Government Accountability Office's January 2010 report "The Federal Government's Long-Term Fiscal Outlook" has some interesting observations and projections about entitlement programs and the federal budget.  These include:

2008 Oldest members of the baby-boom generation become eligible for early Social Security retirement benefits.
2008 Medicare Hospital Insurance expenditures exceed cash income.
2010 Social Security runs first cash deficit since 1984.
2011 Oldest baby-boom generation members become eligible for Medicare
2014 45% of Medicare outlays funded by general revenue
2016 Social Security begins running consistent annual cash deficits and redeeming trust fund assets such as nonmarketable Treasury securities in order to pay beneficiaries.
2017 Medicare Hospital Insurance trust fund exhausted.  Income sufficient to pay about 81% of benefits.
2020 Debt held by public under GAO Alternative simulation exceeds the historical high reached in World War II's aftermath (p. 2)

This crisis has been a long-time building and will take painful steps to solve these problems.  History, unfortunately has demonstrated that Barack Obama and other Democrats refuse to engage in honest debate about this problem and appeal to emotion and outright lies.  Ryan's Medicare reforms WILL NOT affect anyone over 55,  However, we must begin planning for future generations and give them the option to possess private health insurance for their older years if they choose to do so.  Unfortunately, many self-appointed seniors organizations such as the infamous American Association for Retired Persons (AARP) have no intellectual or moral conception of the grievous fiscal consequences of maintaining present entitlement programs.

They represent a Greedy Geezer mentality that was, ironically, depicted in the March 28, 1988 cover story "Talkin Bout My Generation" featured in the liberal New Republic.  Leftist organizations such as AARP and its multiple allies are willing to maintain often extravagant demands for federal benefits without thinking about the consequences of such profligacy for future generations including their children and grandchildren let alone national economic solvency.

This election will go a long way in determining if we can recover some semblance of national fiscal solvency and seek to empower individuals to reach their maximum personal or economic potential if they choose Mitt Romney's and Paul Ryan's visions for America.  On the other hand, if we choose to embrace Barack Obama's and Joe Biden's vision of class warfare, statist dependency on governmental handouts, and unsustainable federal budgets and national debt, we will lose control of our personal and national economic sovereignty and become shackled slaves on a plantation like socioeconomic structure of governmental servitude destined for inevitable collapse and societal disintegration.

While Medicare has some benefits, it is an inefficient and fraud ridden program that does not meet emerging personal health care, demographic, or economic needs and realities.  You can visit the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission website to learn more about Medicare's accelerating financial problems. The sad truth is that national governments, whether in the U.S. or elsewhere, do not do a good job at providing customer focused and cost effective health care.  Paul Ryan has the political courage and intellectual prowess to convince Americans of this reality and that we must take drastic steps to alter the financially unsustainable course our nation is on.  We urgently need the wisdom and leadership he and Mitt Romney are capable of providing us if we are to begin the long and painful process of restoring American economic growth and entreprenurial dynamism.
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GOP Vice-Presidential Speculation

As summer's heat ebbs and flows, the blogosphere and traditional media are a twitter with prognostications and speculations about Mitt Romney's potential Vice-Presidential running mate.  There is also considerable hypothesizing about whether Romney will wait until the GOP convention in several weeks or whether he'll pull the plug early.  Numerous factors have gone in to selecting a party's vice-presidential candidate.  These have included smoke-filled back rooms involving party bosses, the desire for geographic regional or partisan ideological balance, possessing skill sets and experiences not held by the presidential candidate, and various other substantive and mundane factors.

The most important factor Romney should choose is someone who's capable of assuming the presidency at a moment's notice and continue moving administration policy and the national interest forward.  The Vice-President must be a man or woman or experience, substance, and high moral character of above all other factors.

My first choice is Florida Senator Marco Rubio.  We need not reprise Rubio's compelling personal story.  He truly exemplifies the American dream and is developing a strong record as a principled and substantive Senator where his policy interests include immigration and international affairs.  He's a compelling orator who will energize the conservative base.  He will reflect the reality that not all Hispanics have been seduced into the Democrats leftist ethnic victim and governmental dependency racket.  His selection could play electoral dividends in areas of growing Hispanic population such as Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and elsewhere to ethnic compatriots who have seen four years of Obama's abject failure. Where raw electoral vote calculus is concerned, Florida's vital electoral votes are the deciding factor in getting to the 270 votes needed to secure the White House.  Just to see him debate the cadaverous and gaffe-prone Joe Biden alone will be priceless.

Wisconsin's Paul Ryan is another strong choice.  Ryan is a true scholar of the federal budget and his presence on the ticket will reinforce the vital importance of the national economy and that economy's future direction, viability, and sustainability.  He is solid on social issues though I don't know the extent of his foreign and national security policy views.  Although not as electoral vote rich as Florida, Wisconsin is a key midwestern bellweather state which appears to be heading in a conservative direction following Gov. Scott Walker's decisive victory in last month's recall election.

Ohio Senator Rob Portman has solid budgetary and senatorial experience.  Although some might criticize him for being head of the Bush OMB, Portman's middle class background gives him deep understanding and empathy for the lives of the silent majority and their struggles to sustain themselves in these economically challenging times.  While he is not a compelling speaker, these times require leadership of substance and grit instead of class warfare and superficial celebrity.

New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte is my dark horse choice.  Before being elected to the Senate in 2010, Ayotte was an effective New  Hampshire Attorney General.  She argued a case defending traditional marriage before the Supreme Court despite the opposition of Democrat Governor John Lynch who signed execrable same-sex marriage legislation.  Ayotte is strongly pro-life and is developing a reputation for fiscal conservatism similar to her predecessor Judd Gregg.  Her husband is a small business owner and she is acutely attuned to the needs of this vitally important economic force.

  She is also  becoming a leader and gaining national security experience on the Senate Armed Services Committee.  There she has been a dogged critic of the Obama Administration's  releasing terrorists captured and held at Guantanamo Bay back on to the battlefield where they have continued their fight against American soldiers and our allies.  Ayotte knows that you cannot tolerate recidivism among these monsters and recognizes that we are fighting a war instead of street criminals.  

Adding her to the ticket would not provide regional balance.  However, there is recent historical precedent for candidates from adjoining states winning the presidency as demonstrated by the lamentable example of Bill Clinton and Al Gore in 1992.  She is a rising star within our party with sky's the limit potential and has the chance to be a nationally prominent conservative leader.  Most importantly, she is all substance, unlike Sarah Palin, and it would also be fun to see her rip Joe Biden to shreds on the debating platform.

We shall see how the VP selection process unfolds over the next several weeks.



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